The Igbo at it again

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The ”wait for Jonathan” mantra is the new battle cry tearing through the Igbo landscape. It is a new ideology waiting for a regional emblem. The ideology teaches that the Igbo should not declare interest in the presidency in 2015 if President Goodluck Jonathan is interested in the race. Those who say this do so for two clear reasons.

One is that the Jonathan incumbency would make the Igbo quest a Herculean task. The other is that they see Jonathan as one of their own. As an “Ebele”, the Igbo should not be seen to be posing an obstacle to someone who is, more or less, regarded as one of them. The hint was first dropped by Senator Ben Obi a few months ago. Senator Obi, by the way, is the Special Adviser to President Jonathan on Inter Party Relations.

Obi had told his Igbo brethren that they should wait for Jonathan to decide on 2015 presidency before they take their own decision on the same subject matter. He had reasoned that it would not make any political sense for the Igbo to throw their hat in the ring if Jonathan is interested in reelection. The tendency represented by Obi has since been amplified by some of his Igbo kinsmen. Greg Mbadiwe, Nigeria’s former Ambassador to Congo, has expressed similar opinion on the matter.

He wants those clamouring for president of Igbo extradition to read the political barometer aright before joining the fray. The gist of his thesis is that the Igbo must take into consideration the Jonathan incumbency in whatever decision they want to take. Governor Theodore Orji of Abia State has equally spoken in like manner. He sees Igbo quest for the presidency in 2015 as a nullity if Jonathan would run for the same office.

He wants his people to wait for Jonathan to decide before they know the way to go. That is one end of the stick. The other end is held by those who feel that the Igbo deserve the presidency in 2015 and should therefore articulate their position in order to know how to go about the quest. The arrowhead of this tendency is Orji Uzor Kalu, the former Governor of Abia State. Whereas the Ben Obi tendency is dependent on the mood of the president, the Kalu side of the divide wants the Igbo to take their destiny in their own hands.

Their decision to go for the office of the president should not depend on one man’s idiosyncrasy or body language or brain wave. Kalu buttresses his point with the overriding need to give the Igbo a sense of belonging by conceding the presidency to them. As things stand now, the Igbo nation remains the only recognizable group that has been shut out of the Nigerian presidency. Based on this and related arguments, Igbos feel that they will not be asking for too much if they tell other Nigerians to make that concession to them.

Both tendencies have their points. But my point of departure with those who want the Igbo to wait for Jonathan lies in the fact that the Igbo have passed through that road before. Our recent political experience can bear this assertion out. In 2005, the then President, Olusegun Obasanjo, held the country by the jugular through his life presidency project. Since Igbo presidency has become more of a formula than an actual quest, my people were, before then howling over the 2007 presidential slot.

The North and the South East were pitted against each other. Each laid claim to the presidency in 2007. However, no sooner did it become clear to Nigerians that Obasanjo was interested in remaining in power beyond 2007 than the Igbo retreated into their shell. All the hue and cry over Igbo presidency petered out. I recall that Kalu was about the only Igbo then that held on to his guns. And for daring to be his own man, Obasanjo stigmatized him in a number of ways.

It was not until Obasanjo’s self –perpetuation agenda collapsed that the Igbo regrouped for the 2007 presidential race. By then, the north which remained resolute in the quest had gained grounds. All they needed do was to consolidate their position that the presidency was theirs in 2007. And so, the north carried the day. For the Igbo who were waiting for Obasanjo to decide, it was too late to do anything by the time the Obasanjo agenda failed.

Thus, the Igbo quest also died in the same manner as Obasanjo’s life presidency plan. Some six to seven years down the line, history is set to repeat itself. The Igbo are at it again. The same mantra of waiting for the president has rent the air. The Igbo are working at cross purposes. There are even those who are deriding Kalu for rejecting the option of waiting for Jonathan. This state of affairs is unfortunate.

It goes to show how discordant Igbo views can be when issues crucial to their well being are being discussed. As a confirmation of the fact that history is set to repeat itself over Igbo presidency, President Jonathan, this Sunday, told Nigerians that he would make his stand on 2015 presidency known in 2014. That is one year to the election. In other words, for those Igbos who want their people to wait for Jonathan, 2014 is the year to take a decision on the Igbo presidency project. But we know that the struggle for power is not a tea party. It is not something a people or group should rush into. It requires ground work.

It requires strategy. It requires articulation. And it requires an arrowhead. These variables cannot be put together in a hurry. Should the Igbo wake up in 2014 and begin to talk about the 2015 presidency, it will certainly be too late in the day. The time left will be too short to go into the race. The result will be that the Igbo will be onlookers in the entire drama as they were in 2007.

From the way Jonathan has spoken, it is evident that he has his eyes on 2015. He said what he was supposed to say. It would have been impolitic for him to tell Nigerians now that he would still contest the presidential election in 2015. If he did that, a critical section of Nigerians would have gone to war with him. They would have berated him to no end.

Such a scenario would certainly have distracted the president and the people of Nigeria. So, the President chose the path of decorum. Yet, the message was clear without being disagreeable. Given this scenario, the Igbo should not be seen to have a single formula. Those who want to wait for the president to decide can go to sleep. They can remain Jonathan-drunk for as long as they wish. Bu they should make allowance for a differing tendency.

They should let those who have a different formula to try their hands on what they believe in. In any case, I do not see anything harmful about the Igbo preparing themselves for the presidency in 2015 even if they decide to drop the idea later if there is a compelling reason for them to do so. It does not make sense for an entire nation to fold its arms and wait for one man. Such a people should rather draw a plan of action. If this clashes with the ambition of the president who they see as one of their own, then the way forward can be negotiated.

It is better to achieve results through negotiation than to relapse into inactivity and expect miracles to come your way. The problem again now as it was then is that a good number of Igbo political elite want to be seen to be nice fellows in the eyes of the president. They do not want to be seen as agitators. They believe that such labels do not win favours or contracts or any form of goodwill. But we are talking about group, not individual interests.

Those who are truly interested in advancing the Igbo cause in this quest must put the people first. If they do that, they will appreciate the senselessness in going to sleep over an issue that is dear to them. The quest for Igbo presidency must move from the realm of convenience to that of a struggle. Those engaged in any form of struggle do not go to sleep until victory is achieved. The Igbo need to imbibe this attitude in their quest for better placement in Nigeria.

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18 Comments

  1. Well thought and articulated. I don’t see wrong in the two ideas. All we need do is to incorporate the two plans for a better chance of success

  2. Even if Jonathan will not seek reelection, the Presidency will still elude the Igbos, because every Igbo MUST be the President or it should go to the North. And this is what will happen, bet me. Forget about Mr. President saying he ‘can still contest’. When the heat is on nobody will advise him to relocate to Otuoke.

  3. Thank u my brother,u hv spoken well nd i beliv dat u r a true igbo man.is only Orji Uzor Kalu dat has d interest of d igbos @ heart odas r selfish,contract nd favour seekin politicians,tanx.may God bless u

  4. I don’t like to hear that JEG is Igbo. I hate it. And he does not represent the genuine interest of the Igbo. About the Igbo entering into agreement wit JEG, I think it is the wongest thing any group can do. He has unfortunately proved not to be trustworthy and reliable. If you doubt me, ask Northen PDP members about 2011 presidential election. I pity Igbo politicians who are rooting for JEG come 2015. They only seem to be blind. Expect wonders by 2015. History will not repeat itself. But people will make history. Our plan is close to our chest. Keep watch!

  5. The Igbo will loose out again, not only in 2015 but in 2019 and 2023.
    My calculation and simple arithmetic is this:
    Jonathan will certainly go for re/selection in 2015 and then his vice Sambo will be selected in 2019 and 2023. That is eleven years the Igbo must wait before the PDP will even consider selecting an Igbo man.
    Now, who says the ACN and CPC if they succeed in unsitting PDP will ever consider an Igbo man who have been antagonistic to this alliance?
    This is why I have always preached an indegenous home grown party from the East like APGA .
    After having consolidated their power base and disciplined their polity, welding them into a cohessive force, could now go into a power sharing alliance with any parties the wish. Just like when NCNC allied with NPC and NPN in the old days.
    As long as the Igbo think someone will hand them something on a platter of gold, they will lose out and be left clutching straws.
    The Igbo are their own worst enemies who think they can bully and threaten their way to a presidency. It will never happen!

  6. WE IN THE SOUTHEAST POLITICAL ACTION GROUP OF NIGERIA,SEPAGON ARE WORKING OUT SOME THING BETTER AND ACHIEVABLE IN 2015 FOR THE IBO,WE KNOW THOSE THAT WILL NOT RULE US COME 2015.IF THEY SAY THEY MUST THEN WE GO THE LIBERIAN WAY.ENOUGH IS ENOUGH,THE STEALING IS TOO MUCH NOW TO BEAR BY ANY RIGHT THINKING NIGERIAN.

    WE ARE NOT ONE PARTY STATE SO ANY ONE PDP WILL SUFFER A HUGE DEFEAT IN 2015,JONATHAN IS THE LAST,WE KNOW THAT OUR BROTHERS IN THE NORTH AND WEST WILL AGREE WITH US,WE SHALL BY FIRE BY FORCES RESCUE THIS NATION FROM THIS PDP NATIONAL ROBBERS.

  7. Jonathan is all but a gentleman,he is planning to contest in 2015 after promising hw wont seek re-election,u see,he caused all dis problems,so now d igbos are clamouring 4 2015 while d north has not even hard one full tenure,so who will shift ground for who?only if jonathan had curtailed his greed nd power thirstness nd let d zoning agreement which he himself was a signatory to stand,d north wouldnt have had a choice but 2 serve their term nd conced it to others,but now as it stands,d igbos will have to wait.

  8. The road to 2015 Presidency is just @ hand. we the Igbo’s can still pave way for GEJ if and only if he makes a u-turn and solve the problems of facing southeastern part of the country. For example, Enugu- Port harcourt Express way has been a death-trap for all the motorists thriving the route. Especially, from Lokpanta-Obigbo in Port-harcourt , Rivers state. Enugu to Okigwe that used to be about 35 mins drive now takes more than two hours becaise of the poor road network. He (GEJ) should remember dat the Igbos suffered for him during the Presidential election because of his names ( Ebele and Azikiwe). But to be frank, igbo are truly marginalised. Again think of Oturkpo – Ugbokolo- Express road in Benue state which is one of the major routes by which southerners travel to their different homes. In fact, that road is even worse than Enugu-Port harcourt Express road. So, for him to avoid being disgraced out of the Presidential race, he should make every thing humanely possible to renovate the roads. LONG LIVE IGBOS, LONG LIVE EASTERNERS, LONG LIVE THE BIAFRAN REPUBLIC.

    • Wake up fool! The topic is Igbo presidency not some roads in disrepair.
      A lot of Igbo kids born in the North were named Kano, Kaduna, Jos, Jega, Ibrahim, Kaltho, etc. does this make them Hausa/Fulani? names are mere appendages which does not confer ethnicity on the wearer of the name.
      Wake up from your sleep, there is no such place as republic of biafra.

  9. @Celeco and Fakas:
    When Azikiwe, Okpara, Aguiyi-Ironsi and Ojukwu had the power, they treated the Ijaws like shit. Ironsi sentenced Boro and others to death. Now that an Ijaw man have the power, the Igbos are saying they are one. Efulefus!
    Ijaws are not Igbos and Igbos are Jews. Stop deceiving yourselves. The presidency is for those who know what they are doing not for primitive beings. Give Igbos the presidency, you wake up one morning and find out that Nigeria is sold or kidnapped.

  10. This writer should be commended for clear thinking, proper analysis and a sound conclusion. I think that Ibo candidates who wish to run for the presidency should quietly continue with their plans. They should not allow the Jonathan ethusiats distract them. They should continue to form alliances, make political deals, be creative, out smart and out work any other competitor including Jonathan and his cheer leaders. They should apply technology to target voters, ethnic groups, tribes within tribes and tailor their messages based on the needs and wants of the specific audience. Budget their funds in such a way that they can get the most bang for their money. In due time Nigerians will be pretty surprised!

  11. The only reaction whorth reading is the 1st article by Banks111. The Igbos should start doing their calculations very well. And may I remind you, you can only win the presidency through courting and cooperation of other regional and ethnic groups.
    However, I will be happier when we have president that will create employment to our teaming graduates, improve and grow our economy, stop importation and consuming economy, extinguish corruption from our govt institutions and body politics, improve our power generation and entrench social justice in our systems; good health and social welfare services, quality education to our youths and proper envionmental protection. For that president I will always vote for irrespective of his ethnic nationalty. The only sine qua non is for us to have proper identification system and unquestionable guard of our votes in any election. Lets do away with primordial sentiments! These leaders don’t get me richer in any way except to enrich themselves and their cronies, but actually impoverishing us through their corrupt tendencies. Let Nigerians be wise for once!

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